Πρόσκληση

 Oμιλία του Anupreet  Porwal (University of Washington, Seattle) στο Σεμινάριο του Τομέα Μαθηματικών ΣΕΜΦΕ, την Παρασκευή 28/01, στις 18:00.Το Σεμινάριο θα πραγματοποιηθεί διαδικτυακά, μέσω Webex, στον σύνδεσμο

https://centralntua.webex.com/centralntua/j.php?MTID=m7b07d1b812d1b466858fc6fba51318a6

Η ώρα έναρξης του Σεμιναρίου, 18:00, διαφέρει από τη συνήθη λόγω της διαφοράς ώρας με το Seattle. Παρακαλώ διαδώστε την ανακοίνωση σε δυνητικά ενδιαφερόμενους.

Title:  Laplace Power-expected-posterior priors for generalized linear models with applications to logistic regression

Abstract: Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use imaginary training samples to update a non-informative prior into a minimally-informative prior. In this work, we develop a novel definition of PEP priors for generalised linear models that relies on a Laplace expansion of the likelihood of the imaginary training sample. This approach has various computational, practical and theoretical advantages over previous proposals for non-informative priors for generalised linear models. We place a special emphasis on logistic regression models, where sample separation presents particular challenges to alternative methodologies. We investigate both asymptotic and finite-sample properties of the procedures, showing that is both asymptotic and intrinsic consistent, and that its performance is at least competitive and, in some settings, superior to that of alternative approaches in the literature.

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